分析师预测HBM晶圆产能将从2025年底的390k wpm增至2026年底的500k及2027年底的960k,认为行业预期2027年底达1M wpm过于激进。
1M WPM for HBM by end of 2027 is too aggressive
"We forecast front end wafer capacity allocated to HBM will grow from 390k wpm at end of 2025 to 500k/960k at the end of 2026-27, eating away at capacity for DRAM where demand is also rising for agentic/inference tasks and general servers"
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