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@aleabitoreddit: $SIVE mass production for 1.6T optical transceivers with $JBL: Is now earlier than expected per JP Morgan Fireside chat. Here's what they...

@aleabitoreddit 4 信息等级 4 1 噪音/剔除;2 较弱;3 普通事实;4 重要行业动态;5 极重大事件。该分数是信息显著性,不是投资建议。 发布:2026-05-20T07:01 抓取:2026-05-20 11:20
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摘要

Jabil在JP Morgan炉边谈话中确认,与Sivers合作的1.6T LRO光收发器量产时间提前,未来1-4个月进入认证,认证周期2-6个月。该产品功耗约11千瓦,远低于现有1.6T方案,形成显著竞争壁垒。需求极度旺盛,供应不足,任何生产的产品都将被市场采购,收入实现窗口预计在2026年底至2027年初。

客观事实
  • Jabil的1.6T LRO将在未来1-4个月进入认证,认证期2-6个月。
  • 1.6T光收发器功耗约11千瓦,远低于当前方案。
  • 需求远超供应,Sivers和Jabil的产品基本会被市场全部购买。
Sivers Jabil JP Morgan 1.6T optical transceivers

原文

$SIVE mass production for 1.6T optical transceivers with $JBL:

Is now earlier than expected per JP Morgan Fireside chat.

Here's what they announced:

> "Relatively dramatic moat" implied with $SIVE laser architectures

> Extreme demand for their 1.6T, which was previously unknown in terms of volume.

> Faster than expected timelines, pulling revenue realization window forward.

The statement:

  1. Jabil’s 1.6T LRO: "Goes into different qualifications across the next 1 to 4 months"

“The quals can take anywhere between 2 to 6 months"

Given its May H1 2026, mass production and revenue realization could begin in anywhere between 3 months to 10 months.

So late 2026 with 6.5 month midpoint.

Lot of former estimates were H2 2027.

  1. Architecturally it's "which is about 11 kilowatts dramatically lower than current 1.6T power profiles"

Hyperscalers would like to hear this, and this is the competitive differentiation + relatively dramatic moat proven with $SIVE as the critical photonics chokepoint.

  1. "At this point, it's not about share. It's really about keeping up with the organic growth of the entire market."

Again this shows that the enormous demand has outstripped supply.

The implications are that it’s more of a matter of how much Sivers + Jabil can build together, as anything they make would be bought.

This type of statement is just incredibly material for Sivers revenue relative to their current marketcap.

The market was previously uncertain about the exact volume demand and commercial timeline from Sivers X Jabil.

Jabil just publicly confirmed that the demand for their 1.6T LRO with $SIVE lasers is essentially uncapped.

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